Rubin vs Lokomotiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ak Bars Arena, Kazan'
The Footlab model makes Rubin the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Lokomotiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubin vs Lokomotiv?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Rubin (1,929) and Lokomotiv (1,972).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Lokomotiv have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Akron(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rubin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lokomotiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv 1-3 Rubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Rubin 3-0 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Lokomotiv 1-0 Rubin | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Rubin 1-0 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Lokomotiv 1-0 Rubin | Premier League |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Lokomotiv 3-4 Rubin | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Rubin score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Lokomotiv | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rubin sit 8th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotiv sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rubin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubin vs Lokomotiv?
- The Footlab model makes Rubin the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Lokomotiv.
- Where and when is Rubin vs Lokomotiv played?
- Rubin vs Lokomotiv is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ak Bars Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.