Rubin vs Lokomotiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ak Bars Arena, Kazan'
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Rubin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubin vs Lokomotiv?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Rubin (1,902) and Lokomotiv (1,973).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rubin vs Lokomotiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rubin
5-4-1- 43J. Siwe
- 22V. Hodža
- 6U. Iwu
- 10E. Salcedo
- 7U. Babaev
- 13J. Urozov
- 51I. Rozhkov
- 12A. Arroyo
- 5I. Vujačić
- 98N. Lobov
- 38E. Staver
Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1- 27N. Komlichenko
- 18N. Titkov
- 7Z. Bakaev
- 6S. Babkin
- 9S. Pinyaev
- 77A. Mostovoy
- 23C. Montes
- 24M. Nenakhov
- 45A. Siljanov
- 5G. Nyamsi
- 1A. Mitryushkin
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Lokomotiv have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rubin wins, 0 draws, 2 Lokomotiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv 1-3 Rubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Rubin 3-0 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Lokomotiv 1-0 Rubin | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Rubin 1-0 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Lokomotiv 1-0 Rubin | Premier League |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Lokomotiv 3-4 Rubin | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Rubin score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 6/15 |
| Lokomotiv | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rubin sit 9th in Premier League (12 points from 11 matches) and Lokomotiv sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rubin | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Rubin vs Lokomotiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubin vs Lokomotiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Rubin.
- Where and when is Rubin vs Lokomotiv played?
- Rubin vs Lokomotiv is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ak Bars Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.