Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Avanhard, Yalta
The Footlab model makes Druzhba the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Rubin Yalta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Rubin Yalta (1,675) and Druzhba (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin Yalta have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Druzhba have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Izberbash(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Angust Nazran(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyzyltash(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sevastopol(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rubin Yalta win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Druzhba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Druzhba 2-2 Rubin Yalta | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Rubin Yalta 1-2 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Rubin Yalta 0-2 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Druzhba 4-0 Rubin Yalta | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Rubin Yalta 1-0 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Druzhba 3-0 Rubin Yalta | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Druzhba vs Rubin Yalta on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rubin Yalta score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Druzhba score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin Yalta | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Druzhba | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rubin Yalta sit 4th in Second League - Group 1 (31 points from 20 matches) and Druzhba sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rubin Yalta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 31 |
| 9 | Druzhba | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?
- The Footlab model makes Druzhba the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Rubin Yalta.
- Where and when is Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba played?
- Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Avanhard, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.