Astrakhan vs Druzhba: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion imeni Kolosova, Astrakhan'
The Footlab model makes Druzhba the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Astrakhan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Astrakhan vs Druzhba?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Astrakhan (1,661) and Druzhba (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Astrakhan have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Druzhba have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyzyltash(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sevastopol(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Astrakhan win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Druzhba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Druzhba 0-0 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Druzhba 1-0 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Druzhba 1-1 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2025 | Astrakhan 0-0 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Druzhba 1-2 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Astrakhan 1-0 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Astrakhan score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Druzhba score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astrakhan | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Druzhba | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Astrakhan sit 10th in Second League - Group 1 (22 points from 19 matches) and Druzhba sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Druzhba | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 27 |
| 10 | Astrakhan | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Astrakhan vs Druzhba?
- The Footlab model makes Druzhba the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Astrakhan.
- Where and when is Astrakhan vs Druzhba played?
- Astrakhan vs Druzhba is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion imeni Kolosova, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.