RUS Binche vs Aywaille: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 5Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Aimé Vachaudez, Binche
The Footlab model makes RUS Binche the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Aywaille. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RUS Binche vs Aywaille?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate RUS Binche (1,716) and Aywaille (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RUS Binche have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Aywaille have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Eupen II(away) | 2-5 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 26, 2026 | La Calamine(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Raeren-Eynatten(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Stade Verviers(home) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Aywaille(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ostiches(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liège(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Richelle United(away) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Acren-Lessines(home) | 3-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 RUS Binche win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aywaille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Aywaille 0-0 RUS Binche | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Sep 7, 2025 | RUS Binche 1-2 Aywaille | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
Last archived meeting: Aywaille vs RUS Binche on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RUS Binche score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aywaille score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUS Binche | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Aywaille | 1.1 | 2.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RUS Binche sit 11th in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (0 points from 1 matches) and Aywaille sit 8th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aywaille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | RUS Binche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RUS Binche vs Aywaille?
- The Footlab model makes RUS Binche the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Aywaille.
- Where and when is RUS Binche vs Aywaille played?
- RUS Binche vs Aywaille is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Aimé Vachaudez, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026OstichesvsHuy
- Sep 19, 2026Union NamurvsStockay-Warfusée
- Sep 19, 2026Stade MouscronnoisvsLa Calamine
- Sep 20, 2026Acren-LessinesvsBraine
- Sep 20, 2026Crossing SchaerbeekvsRichelle United
- Sep 20, 2026JettevsStade Verviers
- Sep 20, 2026SG-Tertre-HautragevsGanshoren
- Sep 20, 2026AS Eupen IIvsEntité Manageoise