Stade Mouscronnois vs La Calamine: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Le Canonnier, Mouscron (Moeskron)
The Footlab model makes Stade Mouscronnois the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for La Calamine. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Mouscronnois vs La Calamine?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Stade Mouscronnois (1,841) and La Calamine (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Mouscronnois have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; La Calamine have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Marke(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Péruwelz(home) | 6-1 | Provincial - Hainaut |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Rapid Symphorinois(away) | 3-1 | Provincial - Hainaut |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | RUS Binche(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Stade Verviers(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Flénu(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Onhaye(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Mouscronnois score 3.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; La Calamine score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Mouscronnois | 3.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| La Calamine | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Stade Mouscronnois | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Mouscronnois vs La Calamine?
- The Footlab model makes Stade Mouscronnois the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for La Calamine.
- Where and when is Stade Mouscronnois vs La Calamine played?
- Stade Mouscronnois vs La Calamine is played on September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Le Canonnier, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.