Union Namur vs Stockay-Warfusée: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Terrain Jambes ADEPS, Jambes
The Footlab model makes Stockay-Warfusée the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Union Namur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Namur vs Stockay-Warfusée?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Union Namur (1,633) and Stockay-Warfusée (1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Namur have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Stockay-Warfusée have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ganshoren(home) | 2-5 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| May 10, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Union Namur(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Standard Liège II(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union Namur win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Stockay-Warfusée win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée 3-0 Union Namur | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Union Namur 2-3 Stockay-Warfusée | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Stockay-Warfusée 0-4 Union Namur | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Union Namur 0-1 Stockay-Warfusée | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Union Namur 1-0 Stockay-Warfusée | First Amateur Division |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Stockay-Warfusée 5-1 Union Namur | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Stockay-Warfusée vs Union Namur on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Namur score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stockay-Warfusée score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Namur | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Stockay-Warfusée | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Union Namur | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Namur vs Stockay-Warfusée?
- The Footlab model makes Stockay-Warfusée the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Union Namur.
- Where and when is Union Namur vs Stockay-Warfusée played?
- Union Namur vs Stockay-Warfusée is played on September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Terrain Jambes ADEPS, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.