Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell
The Footlab model makes Sabadell the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Sabadell (2,002) and AD Ceuta FC (1,934).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sabadell have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; AD Ceuta FC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Olot(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Girona(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Sabadell score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AD Ceuta FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabadell | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sabadell sit 16th in Segunda División (2 points from 2 matches) and AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sabadell | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC?
- The Footlab model makes Sabadell the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC played?
- Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.