Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónMatchday 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell
The Footlab AI model makes Sabadell the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sabadell wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,399 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC?
Sabadell starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (2,076 vs 1,949).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sabadell
4-4-2- 23J. Priego
- 12Gastón Valles
- 10Ángel Baena
- 8Pere Pons
- 22Q. Liameed
- 11Javi López
- 7Ton Ripoll
- 6Edgar González
- 14Óscar Sanz
- 27José Luis Català
- 1Diego Fuoli
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3- 8Kuki
- 9Jordi Escobar
- 19E. Sevikyan
- 10Marino Illescas
- 20Álex Meléndez
- 14Y. Bodiger
- 6Carlos Hernández
- 16Redru
- 18Alex Petxarroman
- 4Albert Caparrós
- 13Guille Vallejo
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sabadell have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; AD Ceuta FC have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 9, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Sabadell win, 0 draws, 0 AD Ceuta FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC 1-2 Sabadell | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sabadell score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AD Ceuta FC score 0.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabadell | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| AD Ceuta FC | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sabadell sit 13th in Segunda División (18 points from 13 matches) and AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd (5 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 18 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 5 |
A question about Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sabadell the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC played?
- Sabadell vs AD Ceuta FC is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.