Girona vs Oviedo: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Oviedo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Girona wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Girona vs Oviedo?
On Elo ratings, Girona has 2,041 points and Oviedo 1,975.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Girona vs Oviedo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Girona
4-4-2- 9Abel Ruiz
- 19V. Vanat
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 22Y. Asprilla
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 4Javier Boñar
- 5David López
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Oviedo
4-3-2-1- 18V. Mingo
- 5Y. Didi
- 10Alberto Reina
- 8Mikel Goti
- 6Dani Villahermosa
- 20Pablo Sáenz
- 12Dani Calvo
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Girona have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Oviedo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Girona wins, 2 draws, 1 Oviedo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Oviedo 1-0 Girona | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Girona 3-3 Oviedo | La Liga |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Girona 2-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Oviedo 0-0 Girona | Segunda División |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Oviedo 0-1 Girona | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Girona 1-0 Oviedo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Girona score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Oviedo score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Oviedo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Girona sit 7th in Segunda División (15 points from 9 matches) and Oviedo sit 9th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Girona vs Oviedo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Girona vs Oviedo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Oviedo.
- Where and when is Girona vs Oviedo played?
- Girona vs Oviedo is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.