Tenerife vs Eibar: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, Santa Cruz de Tenerife (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife vs Eibar?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Tenerife (1,982) and Eibar (2,047).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tenerife vs Eibar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 17C. Gomis
- 15Fabricio
- 6Juanjo
- 10Nacho Gil
- 29Daniel Fernández
- 2David Rodríguez
- 12A. Landázuri
- 19César Álvarez
- 4José León
- 1Dani Martín
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 11Jon Magunazelaia
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Eibar have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tenerife wins, 1 draw, 3 Eibar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eibar 1-3 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tenerife 1-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Eibar 1-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Tenerife 2-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Eibar 3-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Tenerife 0-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Eibar | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tenerife sit 12th in Segunda División (12 points from 9 matches) and Eibar sit 2nd (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Tenerife vs Eibar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife vs Eibar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Tenerife.
- Where and when is Tenerife vs Eibar played?
- Tenerife vs Eibar is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.