Saburtalo vs Gagra: result 3-1 and analysis
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on April 11, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)David Petriashvili Arena, Tbilisi
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What was the result of Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Saburtalo won 3-1 on April 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 18′S. NonikashviliSaburtalo
- 29′C. SyllaSaburtalo
- 32′G. KimadzeGagra
- 57′T. KapanadzeSaburtalo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saburtalo have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Gagra have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Kolkheti Poti(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Dinamo Batumi(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Dila(away) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Samtredia(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Telavi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Samgurali(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Samtredia(away) | 3-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Kolkheti Poti(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Saburtalo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gagra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | Gagra 2-1 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Saburtalo 5-0 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 20, 2023 | Gagra 1-2 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Saburtalo 3-0 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Saburtalo 2-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Gagra 3-3 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Saburtalo score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gagra score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saburtalo | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Gagra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saburtalo sit 3rd in Erovnuli Liga (34 points from 20 matches) and Gagra sit 8th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Saburtalo | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 34 |
| 8 | Gagra | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy