Match

Saburtalo vs Mjallby AIF: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi

SaburtaloMjallby AIF

The Footlab AI model makes Mjallby AIF the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Saburtalo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mjallby AIF wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Saburtalo vs Mjallby AIF?

Mjallby AIF starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,736).

25%25%50%
Saburtalo winDrawMjallby AIF win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Saburtalo vs Mjallby AIF

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Saburtalo

4-3-3
  1. 10Z. Natchkebia
  2. 9A. Dzagania
  3. 17S. Ende
  1. 19N. Sikharulashvili
  2. 8B. Kardava
  3. 18Lucas Brune
  1. 5J. Jinjolava
  2. 40G. Kobuladze
  3. 33J. Tiboue
  4. 25A. Amisulashvili
  1. 31G. Makaridze

Mjallby AIF

5-3-2
  1. 18J. Bergström
  2. 9A. Youssef
  1. 22J. Gustavsson
  2. 7V. Gustafson
  3. 6M. Enggård
  1. 5Abdullah Iqbal
  2. 14Villiam Granath
  3. 4A. Norén
  4. 24T. Pettersson
  5. 25M. Nielsen
  1. 13R. Wallinder

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saburtalo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Mjallby AIF have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Saburtalo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Dinamo Tbilisi(home)1-2Erovnuli Liga
Sep 21, 2026Rustavi(away)2-0Erovnuli Liga
Sep 17, 2026Dila(home)2-1Erovnuli Liga
Sep 13, 2026Spaeri(home)1-0Erovnuli Liga
Sep 9, 2026Dinamo Batumi(away)0-2Erovnuli Liga
Mjallby AIF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 6, 2026Trollhättan(away)0-1Svenska Cupen
Sep 20, 2026Gais(home)0-3Allsvenskan
Sep 16, 2026AIK Stockholm(away)1-1Allsvenskan
Sep 11, 2026BK Hacken(away)1-1Allsvenskan
Sep 7, 2026IFK Goteborg(home)1-4Allsvenskan

How many goals should we expect?

Saburtalo score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mjallby AIF score 0.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Saburtalo1.21.538/158/15
Mjallby AIF0.62.016/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Saburtalo vs Mjallby AIF?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Saburtalo vs Mjallby AIF?
The Footlab AI model makes Mjallby AIF the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Saburtalo.
Where and when is Saburtalo vs Mjallby AIF played?
Saburtalo vs Mjallby AIF is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Saburtalo and Mjallby AIF

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