Şagadam vs Merw: result 1-0 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on March 5, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Balkanabat Stadiony, Balkanabat
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What was the result of Şagadam vs Merw?
Şagadam won 1-0 on March 5, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şagadam have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Merw have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Ahal(home) | 1-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Merw(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Nebitci(home) | 4-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Ahal(away) | 0-6 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Arkadag(away) | 0-5 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Şagadam(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Aşgabat(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Şagadam win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Merw win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Şagadam 1-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Şagadam 3-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Merw 2-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Şagadam 2-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Merw 2-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Şagadam score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 0.7 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şagadam | 1.2 | 2.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Merw | 0.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şagadam sit 4th in Ýokary Liga (40 points from 28 matches) and Merw sit 8th (11 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Şagadam | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 40 |
| 8 | Merw | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 55 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy