Where and when is Biwako Shiga vs Sagamihara played?

Biwako Shiga vs Sagamihara is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Biwako Shiga vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, Higashiomi

Biwako Shiga

Sagamihara

The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Biwako Shiga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Sagamihara?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Biwako Shiga (1,711) and Sagamihara (1,768).

Biwako Shiga win33 %

Draw25 %

Sagamihara win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biwako Shiga have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Biwako Shiga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)	3-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Japan Soccer College(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Matsumoto Yamaga(away)	3-2	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	0-3	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Tochigi City(away)	1-3	J2/J3 League

Sagamihara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)	4-1	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-0	J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	4-3	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Biwako Shiga win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sagamihara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 4, 2013	Sagamihara 2-1 Biwako Shiga	J3 League
May 26, 2013	Biwako Shiga 0-1 Sagamihara	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Biwako Shiga on Aug 4, 2013

How many goals should we expect?

Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Biwako Shiga	1.2	2.0	3	8/15	10/15
Sagamihara	1.8	1.5	6	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Biwako Shiga sit 6th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Sagamihara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Sagamihara	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
6	Biwako Shiga	3	2	0	1	6	7	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Biwako Shiga vs Sagamihara?: The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Biwako Shiga.
Where and when is Biwako Shiga vs Sagamihara played?: Biwako Shiga vs Sagamihara is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.