Where and when is Fukushima United vs Sagamihara played?

Fukushima United vs Sagamihara is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fukushima United vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima

Fukushima United

Sagamihara

The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fukushima United vs Sagamihara?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Fukushima United (1,673) and Sagamihara (1,770).

Fukushima United win33 %

Draw23 %

Sagamihara win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fukushima United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Oyama(home)	7-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kanazawa(away)	3-4	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	1-2	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-1	J2/J3 League

Sagamihara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)	4-1	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-0	J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	4-3	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fukushima United win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sagamihara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 12, 2025	Sagamihara 0-1 Fukushima United	J3 League
Jun 1, 2025	Fukushima United 3-3 Sagamihara	J3 League
Oct 27, 2024	Fukushima United 2-3 Sagamihara	J3 League
Apr 13, 2024	Sagamihara 1-0 Fukushima United	J3 League
Sep 24, 2023	Fukushima United 1-1 Sagamihara	J3 League
Mar 12, 2023	Sagamihara 2-1 Fukushima United	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Fukushima United on Jul 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fukushima United	1.9	1.8	2	11/15	11/15
Sagamihara	1.8	1.5	6	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Sagamihara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Sagamihara	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
19	Fukushima United	3	0	0	3	5	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Sagamihara?: The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Fukushima United.
Where and when is Fukushima United vs Sagamihara played?: Fukushima United vs Sagamihara is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.