Match

Fukushima United vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima

Fukushima UnitedSagamihara

The Footlab AI model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sagamihara wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,709 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fukushima United vs Sagamihara?

Sagamihara starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,712).

33%23%44%
Fukushima United winDrawSagamihara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fukushima United vs Sagamihara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fukushima United

4-3-3
  1. 9K. Shimizu
  2. 8Y. Okada
  3. 40H. Higuchi
  1. 30K. Kano
  2. 10T. Harigaya
  3. 13Aruto Higuchi
  1. 17T. Fujitani
  2. 29K. Tsuchiya
  3. 23T. Anzai
  4. 28N. Suzu
  1. 22K. Yoshimaru

Sagamihara

4-3-3
  1. 15T. Maeda
  2. 7A. Tanahashi
  3. 9K. Sasaki
  1. 10R. Nakayama
  2. 17T. Takeuchi
  3. 6Y. Tokunaga
  1. 13M. Tokida
  2. 2K. Watahiki
  3. 19S. Okita
  4. 5R. Yamauchi
  1. 21Kim Min-Ho

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:13 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fukushima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Tochigi SC(away)0-0J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)1-3J3 League
Oct 25, 2026Ehime FC(away)4-2J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Kitakyushu(home)2-1J3 League
Oct 17, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-1J3 League
Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-0J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Kochi United(away)3-1J3 League
Oct 24, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Oct 21, 2026FC Gifu(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 18, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)2-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fukushima United win, 2 draws, 3 Sagamihara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 12, 2025Sagamihara 0-1 Fukushima UnitedJ3 League
Jun 1, 2025Fukushima United 3-3 SagamiharaJ3 League
Oct 27, 2024Fukushima United 2-3 SagamiharaJ3 League
Apr 13, 2024Sagamihara 1-0 Fukushima UnitedJ3 League
Sep 24, 2023Fukushima United 1-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
Mar 12, 2023Sagamihara 2-1 Fukushima UnitedJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Fukushima United on Jul 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fukushima United score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fukushima United1.72.3111/1512/15
Sagamihara1.71.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fukushima United sit 16th in J3 League (15 points from 15 matches) and Sagamihara sit 4th (28 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Sagamihara15843251528
16Fukushima United15438273215

A question about Fukushima United vs Sagamihara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Sagamihara?
The Footlab AI model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Fukushima United.
Where and when is Fukushima United vs Sagamihara played?
Fukushima United vs Sagamihara is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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