Match

Sagamihara vs Kochi United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara

SagamiharaKochi United

The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sagamihara vs Kochi United?

Sagamihara starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,636).

Sagamihara win62 %
Draw22 %
Kochi United win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kanazawa(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 15, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)4-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)3-0J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026Fujieda MYFC(home)4-3J2/J3 League
Kochi United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Verspah Oita(away)0-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-7J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Omiya Ardija(away)1-2J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sagamihara win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kochi United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2025Kochi United 0-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
Jun 14, 2025Sagamihara 0-0 Kochi UnitedJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Sagamihara on Oct 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sagamihara1.81.568/158/15
Kochi United0.81.745/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sagamihara3210627
11Kochi United3111284

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Kochi United?
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Kochi United.
Where and when is Sagamihara vs Kochi United played?
Sagamihara vs Kochi United is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sagamihara and Kochi United

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