Kochi United vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Haruno
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kochi United vs Sagamihara?
Sagamihara starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kochi United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verspah Oita(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 0-7 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-0 | J2/J3 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 4-3 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kochi United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sagamihara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Kochi United 0-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Sagamihara 0-0 Kochi United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Sagamihara on Oct 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kochi United | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Sagamihara | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kochi United sit 11th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Sagamihara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagamihara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kochi United vs Sagamihara?
- The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kochi United.
- Where and when is Kochi United vs Sagamihara played?
- Kochi United vs Sagamihara is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 31, 2026KanazawavsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Oct 31, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsKitakyushu
- Oct 31, 2026Tochigi SCvsEhime FC
- Oct 31, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsNara Club
- Oct 31, 2026FC RyukyuvsGainare Tottori
- Oct 31, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Oct 31, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsMatsumoto Yamaga