Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi
The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 4-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 Gainare Tottori | J2/J3 League |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Renofa Yamaguchi 2-3 Gainare Tottori | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Gainare Tottori.
- Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori played?
- Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027FC GifuvsKamatamare Sanuki
- Mar 20, 2027KanazawavsTochigi SC
- Mar 20, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsKitakyushu
- Mar 20, 2027Roasso KumamotovsKagoshima United
- Mar 20, 2027FC RyukyuvsBiwako Shiga
- Mar 20, 2027Parceiro NaganovsFukushima United
- Mar 20, 2027SagamiharavsKochi United
- Mar 20, 2027Nara ClubvsEhime FC