Match

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi

Renofa YamaguchiGainare Tottori

The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).

Renofa Yamaguchi win49 %
Draw26 %
Gainare Tottori win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renofa Yamaguchi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nara Club(away)1-3J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Kagoshima United(away)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)1-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Parceiro Nagano(away)0-1J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Yokohama FC(away)1-2J2/J3 League
Gainare Tottori
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Fukushima United(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Ehime FC(away)0-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Osaka(home)1-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gainare Tottori win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Gainare Tottori 4-1 Renofa YamaguchiJ2/J3 League
Mar 1, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 Gainare TottoriJ2/J3 League
Jan 22, 2025Renofa Yamaguchi 2-3 Gainare TottoriFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renofa Yamaguchi1.51.5211/159/15
Gainare Tottori1.71.5111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Gainare Tottori3111364
13Renofa Yamaguchi3102243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori?
The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Gainare Tottori.
Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori played?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Renofa Yamaguchi and Gainare Tottori

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