Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano
The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Parceiro Nagano (1,597) and Fukushima United (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-6 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fukushima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano 1-3 Fukushima United | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Fukushima United 4-2 Parceiro Nagano | J2/J3 League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fukushima United 1-4 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Parceiro Nagano 2-0 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Fukushima United 0-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Parceiro Nagano 2-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Parceiro Nagano score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.8 | 1.4 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Fukushima United | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Fukushima United sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United?
- The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United played?
- Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027FC GifuvsKamatamare Sanuki
- Mar 20, 2027KanazawavsTochigi SC
- Mar 20, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsKitakyushu
- Mar 20, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsGainare Tottori
- Mar 20, 2027Roasso KumamotovsKagoshima United
- Mar 20, 2027FC RyukyuvsBiwako Shiga
- Mar 20, 2027SagamiharavsKochi United
- Mar 20, 2027Nara ClubvsEhime FC