Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Albirex Niigata(away) | 4-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kagoshima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Kagoshima United 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Kagoshima United | J2/J3 League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Kagoshima United 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J2 League |
| May 19, 2024 | Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 Kagoshima United | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2024 | Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 Kagoshima United | J2 League |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Kagoshima United 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Roasso Kumamoto.
- Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United played?
- Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027FC GifuvsKamatamare Sanuki
- Mar 20, 2027KanazawavsTochigi SC
- Mar 20, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsKitakyushu
- Mar 20, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsGainare Tottori
- Mar 20, 2027FC RyukyuvsBiwako Shiga
- Mar 20, 2027Parceiro NaganovsFukushima United
- Mar 20, 2027SagamiharavsKochi United
- Mar 20, 2027Nara ClubvsEhime FC