Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso KumamotoKagoshima United

The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?

Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,700).

Roasso Kumamoto win24 %
Draw29 %
Kagoshima United win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Kagoshima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Albirex Niigata(away)4-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Nara Club(away)3-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)1-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kagoshima United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Kagoshima United 2-1 Roasso KumamotoJ2/J3 League
Mar 29, 2026Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Kagoshima UnitedJ2/J3 League
Sep 15, 2024Kagoshima United 0-2 Roasso KumamotoJ2 League
May 19, 2024Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 Kagoshima UnitedFriendlies Clubs
May 3, 2024Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 Kagoshima UnitedJ2 League
Oct 31, 2021Kagoshima United 1-0 Roasso KumamotoJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto0.91.165/155/15
Kagoshima United1.50.757/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Kagoshima United3210417
17Roasso Kumamoto3021012

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United played?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Roasso Kumamoto and Kagoshima United

Ready to know everything about football?