Where and when is A Madrid III vs Guadalajara played?

A Madrid III vs Guadalajara is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

A Madrid III vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, Majadahonda

A Madrid III

Guadalajara

The Footlab model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win A Madrid III vs Guadalajara?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate A Madrid III (1,844) and Guadalajara (1,881).

A Madrid III win43 %

Draw28 %

Guadalajara win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A Madrid III have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Guadalajara have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

A Madrid III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Móstoles(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	SS Reyes II(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Racing Madrid(home)	5-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	5-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	Unión Adarve(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Guadalajara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Marchamalo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Real Madrid II(home)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Athletic Club II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Real Avilés(away)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
A Madrid III	2.1	1.4	2	12/15	10/15
Guadalajara	1.5	1.3	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guadalajara	34	22	8	4	60	22	74

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for A Madrid III vs Guadalajara?: The Footlab model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Guadalajara.
Where and when is A Madrid III vs Guadalajara played?: A Madrid III vs Guadalajara is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.