A Madrid III vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, Majadahonda
The Footlab AI model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1. If A Madrid III wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win A Madrid III vs Guadalajara?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate A Madrid III (1,856) and Guadalajara (1,859).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for A Madrid III vs Guadalajara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
A Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the A Madrid III lineup.
Guadalajara
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A Madrid III have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Guadalajara have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 4-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
A Madrid III score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Madrid III | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Guadalajara | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
A Madrid III sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (18 points from 10 matches) and Guadalajara sit 9th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | A Madrid III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 9 | Guadalajara | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 20 | 13 |
A question about A Madrid III vs Guadalajara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for A Madrid III vs Guadalajara?
- The Footlab AI model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Guadalajara.
- Where and when is A Madrid III vs Guadalajara played?
- A Madrid III vs Guadalajara is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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