Salernitana vs Scafatese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Arechi, Salerno
The Footlab AI model makes Salernitana the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Scafatese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Salernitana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salernitana vs Scafatese?
On Elo ratings, Salernitana has 1,869 points and Scafatese 1,974.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Salernitana vs Scafatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Salernitana
3-5-2- 11E. D'Ursi
- 20A. La Gumina
- 32M. Vitale
- 8M. Tascone
- 6K. de Boer
- 4E. Gyabuaa
- 25M. Djibril
- 73S. Pieraccini
- 5D. Celiento
- 16M. Llano
- 12C. Galeotti
Scafatese
4-3-3- 27C. Palmieri
- 7E. Volpicelli
- 16R. Convitto
- 25M. Toscano
- 15F. Tripi
- 5F. Proia
- 35M. Novella
- 20M. Scognamiglio
- 13L. Bacchetti
- 55V. Guerra
- 22F. Forte
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salernitana have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Scafatese have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bari(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cosenza(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catania(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Salernitana wins, 0 draws, 1 Scafatese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salernitana 1-2 Scafatese | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Salernitana vs Scafatese on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salernitana score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Scafatese score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salernitana | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Scafatese | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salernitana sit 8th in Serie C - Girone C (13 points from 9 matches) and Scafatese sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Scafatese | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | Salernitana | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Salernitana vs Scafatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salernitana vs Scafatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Salernitana the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Scafatese.
- Where and when is Salernitana vs Scafatese played?
- Salernitana vs Scafatese is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arechi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.