Cavese vs Casarano: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni
The Footlab model makes Casarano the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Cavese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cavese vs Casarano?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Cavese (1,767) and Casarano (1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavese have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Casarano have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 20, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 13, 2026 | Renate(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Cavese win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Casarano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Cavese 1-1 Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Casarano 3-0 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| May 21, 2023 | Cavese 3-0 Casarano | Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Casarano 1-1 Cavese | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Cavese 2-1 Casarano | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Cavese score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Casarano score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavese | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Casarano | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cavese sit 20th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 1 matches) and Casarano sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Casarano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Cavese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cavese vs Casarano?
- The Footlab model makes Casarano the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Cavese.
- Where and when is Cavese vs Casarano played?
- Cavese vs Casarano is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.