Match

Cavese vs Casarano: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni

CaveseCasarano

The Footlab AI model makes Cavese the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Casarano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cavese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cavese vs Casarano?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Cavese (1,799) and Casarano (1,827).

49%27%24%
Cavese winDrawCasarano win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cavese vs Casarano

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cavese

4-3-3
  1. 24F. Orlando
  2. 82G. Fusco
  3. 8A. Diarrassouba
  1. 5T. Awua
  2. 20G. Esposito
  3. 4E. Visconti
  1. 25Manuel Peretti
  2. 23A. Fiordaliso
  3. 17F. Nunziata
  4. 28T. Mannucci
  1. 12V. Boffelli

Casarano

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Chiricò
  2. 11V. Ferrara
  3. 9F. Grandolfo
  1. 23G. Logoluso
  2. 17R. Maiello
  3. 21N. Zanellato
  1. 33M. Mercadante
  2. 2P. Ciotti
  3. 36E. Matino
  4. 3F. Giraudo
  1. 97A. Farroni

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Casarano have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cavese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Barletta(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Casertana(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Savoia(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Potenza(away)2-4Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Sorrento(home)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Casarano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Salernitana(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Sorrento(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026SS Monopoli(home)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Savoia(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Audace Cerignola(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Cavese wins, 2 draws, 1 Casarano win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Cavese 1-1 CasaranoSerie C - Girone C
Sep 21, 2025Casarano 3-0 CaveseSerie C - Girone C
May 21, 2023Cavese 3-0 CasaranoSerie D - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 16, 2023Casarano 1-1 CaveseSerie D - Girone H
Dec 4, 2022Cavese 2-1 CasaranoSerie D - Girone H

Last archived meeting: Cavese vs Casarano on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cavese score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Casarano score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cavese1.31.348/155/15
Casarano1.21.345/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cavese sit 10th in Serie C - Girone C (12 points from 9 matches) and Casarano sit 13th (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Cavese9333151512
13Casarano9324101311

A question about Cavese vs Casarano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cavese vs Casarano?
The Footlab AI model makes Cavese the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Casarano.
Where and when is Cavese vs Casarano played?
Cavese vs Casarano is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cavese and Casarano

Ready to know everything about football?