Salgueiro vs Petrolina: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cornélio de Barros Muniz, Salgueiro, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Salgueiro the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Petrolina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Salgueiro wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salgueiro vs Petrolina?
Salgueiro starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,539 vs 1,405).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Salgueiro vs Petrolina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Salgueiro
4-3-3- GGabriel
- OOdilávio
- RRobinho
- PPedro Talisca
- HHebert
- PPalominha
- GGaspar
- LLeonardo
- WWesley
- DDenilton
- ÉÉverton
Petrolina
4-4-2- TTiaguinho
- IIgor
- KKiko
- JJoão Neto
- AAlvaro Vieira
- JJoão Victor
- IIsaque Gavioli
- MMarcos Vinicius
- AAugusto
- NNildo Petrolina
- AAndré Lucas
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salgueiro have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Petrolina have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | Retrô(away) | 1-3 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Afogados(home) | 3-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Retrô(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-3 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Jaguaré(away) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Retrô(home) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Central SC(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Decisão(away) | 0-3 | Pernambucano - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Salgueiro win, 1 draw, 0 Petrolina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | Petrolina 2-2 Salgueiro | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Salgueiro 2-0 Petrolina | Pernambucano - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Petrolina vs Salgueiro on Jan 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Salgueiro score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Petrolina score 0.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salgueiro | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Petrolina | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Salgueiro vs Petrolina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salgueiro vs Petrolina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Salgueiro the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Petrolina.
- Where and when is Salgueiro vs Petrolina played?
- Salgueiro vs Petrolina is played on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cornélio de Barros Muniz, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.