Sampdoria vs Arezzo: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
The Footlab AI model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Arezzo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sampdoria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
On Elo ratings, Sampdoria has 1,790 points and Arezzo 1,916.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sampdoria vs Arezzo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sampdoria
4-3-2-1- 99G. Tutino
- 6L. Henderson
- 45A. Makoumbou
- 10L. Insigne
- 16Y. Verschaeren
- 28O. Abildgaard
- 29A. Di Pardo
- 7M. Cicconi
- 3S. Gartenmann
- 15F. Delli Carri
- 1P. Vindahl
Arezzo
4-3-3- 71P. Cianci
- 10E. Pattarello
- 99M. Olivieri
- 17A. Ioniţă
- 16Mattia Sala
- 23M. Viviani
- 37S. Righetti
- 13M. Gilli
- 4M. Coppolaro
- 5J. Illanes
- 14A. Nunziante
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sampdoria have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Arezzo have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-5 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 2-3 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Sampdoria score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arezzo score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Arezzo | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sampdoria sit 17th in Serie B (4 points from 5 matches) and Arezzo sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arezzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Arezzo.
- Where and when is Sampdoria vs Arezzo played?
- Sampdoria vs Arezzo is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.