Padova vs Virtus Entella: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padova
The Footlab AI model makes Padova the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Virtus Entella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Padova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Padova vs Virtus Entella?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Padova (1,810) and Virtus Entella (1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Padova vs Virtus Entella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Virtus Entella
3-5-2- 11Bernat Guiu
- 10L. Cuppone
- 24A. Franzoni
- 5N. Squizzato
- 8L. Vignali
- 80L. Benedetti
- 26Z. Menyhárt
- 23L. Parodi
- 27M. Alborghetti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 22F. Del Frate
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Padova have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Virtus Entella have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Padova wins, 0 draws, 2 Virtus Entella wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Virtus Entella 1-0 Padova | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Padova 2-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| May 17, 2025 | Padova 0-1 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Padova 2-1 Virtus Entella | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Entella vs Padova on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Padova sit 10th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Virtus Entella sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Padova vs Virtus Entella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Padova vs Virtus Entella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Padova the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Virtus Entella.
- Where and when is Padova vs Virtus Entella played?
- Padova vs Virtus Entella is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.