Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
The Footlab AI model makes Hellas Verona the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Catanzaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hellas Verona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Hellas Verona (1,868) and Catanzaro (1,858).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hellas Verona
4-4-2- 25D. Mosquera
- 14D. Livramento
- 9A. Sarr
- 17A. Le Borgne
- 44E. Iannoni
- 23N. Lella
- 4G. Zappa
- 27P. Dawidowicz
- 71D. De Battisti
- 5A. Edmundsson
- 34S. Perilli
Catanzaro
3-4-2-1- 9P. Iemmello
- 10J. Petriccione
- 98N. Mosti
- 30G. Alesi
- 93M. Dorval
- 20S. Pafundi
- 62R. Frosinini
- 4Matias Antonini
- 24M. Ruggero
- 3M. Imperiale
- 22M. Pigliacelli
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hellas Verona have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Catanzaro have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Modena(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 5-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Hellas Verona win, 0 draws, 0 Catanzaro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2021 | Hellas Verona 3-0 Catanzaro | Coppa Italia |
Last archived meeting: Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro on Aug 14, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Hellas Verona score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Catanzaro score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Catanzaro | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hellas Verona sit 9th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Catanzaro sit 19th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 7 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hellas Verona the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Catanzaro.
- Where and when is Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro played?
- Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.