Sporting San Miguelito vs Herrera: prediction and stats
Liga Panameña de FútbolApertura - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Los Andes, San Miguelito
The Footlab model makes Sporting San Miguelito the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Herrera. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting San Miguelito vs Herrera?
Sporting San Miguelito starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,609 vs 1,388).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting San Miguelito have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Herrera have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CD Arabe Unido(away) | 0-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UMECIT(away) | 1-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alianza FC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plaza Amador(home) | 0-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tauro FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Veraguas(home) | 2-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Francisco FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Independiente de La Chorrera(away) | 0-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Union Cocle(home) | 1-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| May 2, 2026 | Union Cocle(away) | 0-4 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sporting San Miguelito win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Herrera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Herrera 1-1 Sporting San Miguelito | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Herrera 1-3 Sporting San Miguelito | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Sporting San Miguelito 2-0 Herrera | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Sporting San Miguelito 1-0 Herrera | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Herrera 1-1 Sporting San Miguelito | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Sporting San Miguelito 2-0 Herrera | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
Last archived meeting: Herrera vs Sporting San Miguelito on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting San Miguelito score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Herrera score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Miguelito | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Herrera | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting San Miguelito sit 8th in Liga Panameña de Fútbol (5 points from 5 matches) and Herrera sit 6th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting San Miguelito | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 18 |
| 6 | Herrera | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Sporting San Miguelito | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Sporting San Miguelito | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Herrera | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting San Miguelito vs Herrera?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting San Miguelito the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Herrera.
- Where and when is Sporting San Miguelito vs Herrera played?
- Sporting San Miguelito vs Herrera is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Los Andes, in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.