Tauro FC vs Independiente de La Chorrera: prediction and stats
Liga Panameña de FútbolApertura - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez, Ciudad de Panamá
The Footlab model makes Tauro FC the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Independiente de La Chorrera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tauro FC vs Independiente de La Chorrera?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Tauro FC (1,534) and Independiente de La Chorrera (1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tauro FC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Independiente de La Chorrera have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Alianza FC(away) | 0-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CD Arabe Unido(home) | 0-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Plaza Amador(away) | 2-3 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 2, 2026 | UMECIT(home) | 1-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sporting San Miguelito(home) | 0-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Union Cocle(home) | 3-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Francisco FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Deportivo Universitario(home) | 2-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Herrera(home) | 0-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Veraguas(away) | 1-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tauro FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Independiente de La Chorrera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Independiente de La Chorrera 2-2 Tauro FC | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Tauro FC 0-0 Independiente de La Chorrera | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| May 15, 2025 | Independiente de La Chorrera 0-0 Tauro FC | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Independiente de La Chorrera 1-1 Tauro FC | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Independiente de La Chorrera 2-0 Tauro FC | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| May 11, 2024 | Tauro FC 4-1 Independiente de La Chorrera | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
Last archived meeting: Independiente de La Chorrera vs Tauro FC on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tauro FC score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente de La Chorrera score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tauro FC | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Independiente de La Chorrera | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tauro FC sit 12th in Liga Panameña de Fútbol (2 points from 5 matches) and Independiente de La Chorrera sit 6th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tauro FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
| 6 | Tauro FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
| 6 | Independiente de La Chorrera | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Independiente de La Chorrera | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
| 12 | Tauro FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tauro FC vs Independiente de La Chorrera?
- The Footlab model makes Tauro FC the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Independiente de La Chorrera.
- Where and when is Tauro FC vs Independiente de La Chorrera played?
- Tauro FC vs Independiente de La Chorrera is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez, in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.