UMECIT vs Veraguas: prediction and stats
Liga Panameña de FútbolApertura - 6Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes UMECIT the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Veraguas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UMECIT vs Veraguas?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate UMECIT (1,545) and Veraguas (1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UMECIT have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Veraguas have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Plaza Amador(away) | 0-3 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 1-4 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting San Miguelito(home) | 0-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Alianza FC(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | CD Arabe Unido(home) | 0-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Francisco FC(home) | 3-3 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Herrera(away) | 2-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Cocle(away) | 1-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Universitario(home) | 2-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Independiente de La Chorrera(home) | 1-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UMECIT win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Veraguas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Veraguas 1-4 UMECIT | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Sep 30, 2025 | UMECIT 1-1 Veraguas | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Veraguas 2-0 UMECIT | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UMECIT 0-0 Veraguas | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Oct 26, 2024 | UMECIT 0-1 Veraguas | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Veraguas 0-0 UMECIT | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
How many goals should we expect?
UMECIT score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Veraguas score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMECIT | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Veraguas | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UMECIT sit 11th in Liga Panameña de Fútbol (3 points from 5 matches) and Veraguas sit 3rd (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veraguas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 25 |
| 3 | Veraguas | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 25 |
| 4 | Veraguas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 25 |
| 11 | UMECIT | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UMECIT vs Veraguas?
- The Footlab model makes UMECIT the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Veraguas.
- Where and when is UMECIT vs Veraguas played?
- UMECIT vs Veraguas is played on September 1, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC), in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.