San Ignacio vs Real Sociedad III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos, Gasteiz
The Footlab AI model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Real Sociedad III. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Ignacio wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,336 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Ignacio vs Real Sociedad III?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate San Ignacio (1,744) and Real Sociedad III (1,788).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Ignacio vs Real Sociedad III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Ignacio
Not enough data to predict the San Ignacio lineup.
Real Sociedad III
Not enough data to predict the Real Sociedad III lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Ignacio have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Real Sociedad III have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sodupe(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Amurrio Club(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 San Ignacio wins, 2 draws, 1 Real Sociedad III win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Real Sociedad III 0-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | San Ignacio 2-3 Real Sociedad III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 23, 2019 | San Ignacio 3-3 Real Sociedad III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Ignacio score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad III score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Ignacio | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Sociedad III | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Ignacio sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (14 points from 10 matches) and Real Sociedad III sit 3rd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Sociedad III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 18 |
| 10 | San Ignacio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 14 |
A question about San Ignacio vs Real Sociedad III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Ignacio vs Real Sociedad III?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Real Sociedad III.
- Where and when is San Ignacio vs Real Sociedad III played?
- San Ignacio vs Real Sociedad III is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.