Lagun Onak vs Amurrio Club: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Garmendipe, Azpeitia
The Footlab model makes Lagun Onak the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Amurrio Club. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lagun Onak vs Amurrio Club?
Lagun Onak starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lagun Onak have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Amurrio Club have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Derio(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 17, 2026 | Derio(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Añorga(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2022 | Barakaldo(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Pasaia KE(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Uritarra(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | San Ignacio(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Tolosa(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lagun Onak win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Amurrio Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | Amurrio Club 0-0 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Lagun Onak 0-0 Amurrio Club | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Amurrio Club vs Lagun Onak on Jan 15, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Lagun Onak score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Amurrio Club score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagun Onak | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Amurrio Club | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 53 | 34 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lagun Onak vs Amurrio Club?
- The Footlab model makes Lagun Onak the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Amurrio Club.
- Where and when is Lagun Onak vs Amurrio Club played?
- Lagun Onak vs Amurrio Club is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Garmendipe, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.