Pasaia KE vs Eibar III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, Errenteria
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar III the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Pasaia KE. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar III wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pasaia KE vs Eibar III?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Pasaia KE (1,652) and Eibar III (1,692).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pasaia KE vs Eibar III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pasaia KE
Not enough data to predict the Pasaia KE lineup.
Eibar III
Not enough data to predict the Eibar III lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pasaia KE have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Eibar III have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pasaia KE wins, 2 draws, 2 Eibar III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Eibar III 3-0 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Pasaia KE 1-2 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Pasaia KE 1-1 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Eibar III 2-2 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Eibar III vs Pasaia KE on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pasaia KE score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar III score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasaia KE | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Eibar III | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pasaia KE sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (10 points from 6 matches) and Eibar III sit 16th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pasaia KE | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Eibar III | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Pasaia KE vs Eibar III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pasaia KE vs Eibar III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar III the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Pasaia KE.
- Where and when is Pasaia KE vs Eibar III played?
- Pasaia KE vs Eibar III is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.