Sandefjord vs Brann: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
The Footlab model makes Brann the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sandefjord. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Brann?
Brann starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (2,050 vs 1,929).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sandefjord have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Brann have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 7, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(home) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Viking(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sandefjord win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Brann win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Brann 0-1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Sandefjord 0-3 Brann | Eliteserien |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Brann 1-0 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Sandefjord 2-2 Brann | Eliteserien |
| May 16, 2024 | Brann 2-1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Sandefjord 1-1 Brann | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Sandefjord score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brann score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Brann | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sandefjord sit 13th in Eliteserien (18 points from 17 matches) and Brann sit 6th (25 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 25 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sandefjord vs Brann?
- The Footlab model makes Brann the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sandefjord.
- Where and when is Sandefjord vs Brann played?
- Sandefjord vs Brann is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Jotun Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.