Şanlıurfaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, Şanlıurfa
The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Güzide Gebzespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Şanlıurfaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Şanlıurfaspor (1,757) and Güzide Gebzespor (1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şanlıurfaspor have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Güzide Gebzespor have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 5-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fethiyespor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Güzide Gebzespor score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şanlıurfaspor | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Güzide Gebzespor | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şanlıurfaspor sit 5th in 2. Lig (65 points from 36 matches) and Güzide Gebzespor sit 7th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Şanlıurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 43 | 65 |
| 7 | Güzide Gebzespor | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 31 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Şanlıurfaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor?
- The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Güzide Gebzespor.
- Where and when is Şanlıurfaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor played?
- Şanlıurfaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2026ElazığsporvsÇorluspor 1947
- Oct 4, 2026KastamonusporvsArnavutköy Belediyespor
- Oct 4, 2026Menemen FKvsAdana Demirspor
- Oct 4, 202668 Aksaray BelediyesporvsAnkaraspor
- Oct 4, 2026Isparta 32 SporvsHatayspor
- Oct 4, 2026SomasporvsSebat Gençlikspor
- Oct 4, 2026ErbaasporvsAliağa FAŞ
- Oct 4, 2026İnegöl Kafkas GençlikvsMuş Sport Klübü