Where and when is Somaspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor played?

Somaspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Somaspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, Soma

Somaspor

Sebat Gençlikspor

The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Somaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Somaspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?

Sebat Gençlikspor starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,537).

Somaspor win23 %

Draw24 %

Sebat Gençlikspor win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Somaspor have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sebat Gençlikspor have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Somaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)	2-3	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Bursaspor(away)	1-5	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)	0-0	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Menemen FK(away)	1-2	2. Lig
Mar 28, 2026	Kırklarelispor(home)	2-0	2. Lig

Sebat Gençlikspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Orduspor 1967(away)	3-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	1926 Bulancak(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 28, 2026	Çayelispor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 24, 2026	Amasyaspor 1968(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Somaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Somaspor	1.3	1.6	5	8/15	10/15
Sebat Gençlikspor	1.5	0.7	7	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Somaspor	34	8	6	20	41	68	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Somaspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?: The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Somaspor.
Where and when is Somaspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor played?: Somaspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.