Where and when is Menemen FK vs Adana Demirspor played?

Menemen FK vs Adana Demirspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Menemen Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Menemen FK vs Adana Demirspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Menemen Şehir Stadı, Menemen

Menemen FK

Adana Demirspor

The Footlab model makes Menemen FK the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Menemen FK vs Adana Demirspor?

Menemen FK starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,678 vs 1,452).

Menemen FK win66 %

Draw20 %

Adana Demirspor win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Menemen FK have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Adana Demirspor have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Menemen FK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	1461 Trabzon FK(away)	5-4	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Aliağa FAŞ(away)	0-5	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Somaspor(home)	2-1	2. Lig
Mar 29, 2026	Ankara Demirspor(away)	0-2	2. Lig
Mar 25, 2026	Mardin 1969(home)	1-3	2. Lig

Adana Demirspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	İstanbulspor(away)	1-8	1. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Ümraniyespor(home)	1-3	1. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Boluspor(away)	0-6	1. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Iğdır FK(home)	1-6	1. Lig
Apr 7, 2026	Hatayspor(away)	0-4	1. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Menemen FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Adana Demirspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2021	Menemen FK 1-4 Adana Demirspor	1. Lig
Jan 4, 2021	Adana Demirspor 3-0 Menemen FK	1. Lig
Feb 25, 2020	Menemen FK 2-3 Adana Demirspor	1. Lig
Oct 6, 2019	Adana Demirspor 0-1 Menemen FK	1. Lig

Last archived meeting: Menemen FK vs Adana Demirspor on May 9, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Menemen FK score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Menemen FK	1.2	2.1	3	8/15	11/15
Adana Demirspor	0.5	4.5	0	6/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Menemen FK	34	15	6	13	57	51	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Menemen FK vs Adana Demirspor?: The Footlab model makes Menemen FK the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Adana Demirspor.
Where and when is Menemen FK vs Adana Demirspor played?: Menemen FK vs Adana Demirspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Menemen Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.