Sanluqueño vs Recreativo Huelva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda
The Footlab model makes Sanluqueño the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Recreativo Huelva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanluqueño vs Recreativo Huelva?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Sanluqueño (1,755) and Recreativo Huelva (1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanluqueño have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Recreativo Huelva have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Conil(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sanluqueño win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Recreativo Huelva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Recreativo Huelva 0-0 Sanluqueño | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Sanluqueño 1-1 Recreativo Huelva | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Sanluqueño 1-0 Recreativo Huelva | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Recreativo Huelva 1-0 Sanluqueño | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Recreativo Huelva 1-0 Sanluqueño | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Sanluqueño 1-1 Recreativo Huelva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo Huelva vs Sanluqueño on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo Huelva score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanluqueño | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Recreativo Huelva | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 25 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanluqueño vs Recreativo Huelva?
- The Footlab model makes Sanluqueño the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Recreativo Huelva.
- Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Recreativo Huelva played?
- Sanluqueño vs Recreativo Huelva is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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