Real Betis II vs Xerez: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Real Betis II the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Betis II vs Xerez?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Real Betis II (1,868) and Xerez (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Betis II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Xerez have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Tarazona(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Antequera(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Portuense(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Real Betis II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Xerez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | Xerez 0-2 Real Betis II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Real Betis II 3-0 Xerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Xerez 1-3 Real Betis II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Xerez vs Real Betis II on Aug 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Real Betis II score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis II | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Xerez | 0.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Xerez | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Betis II vs Xerez?
- The Footlab model makes Real Betis II the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Xerez.
- Where and when is Real Betis II vs Xerez played?
- Real Betis II vs Xerez is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 11, 2026BadajozvsMarbella
- Oct 11, 2026Linares DeportivovsAntoniano
- Oct 11, 2026Las Palmas IIvsTenerife II
- Oct 11, 2026SanluqueñovsRecreativo Huelva
- Oct 11, 2026Ciudad de LucenavsDon Benito
- Oct 11, 2026Atlético PasovsTamaraceite
- Oct 11, 2026EsteponavsAtlético Central
- Oct 11, 2026Mijas Las LagunasvsSevilla Atletico