Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tenerife II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Las Palmas II (1,870) and Tenerife II (1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas II have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Tenerife II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elche II(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Palmas II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tenerife II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Tenerife II 2-2 Las Palmas II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Las Palmas II 0-1 Tenerife II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Las Palmas II 2-0 Tenerife II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Tenerife II 0-1 Las Palmas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Las Palmas II 1-1 Tenerife II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Tenerife II 2-0 Las Palmas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Tenerife II vs Las Palmas II on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife II score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tenerife II | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II?
- The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tenerife II.
- Where and when is Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II played?
- Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 11, 2026BadajozvsMarbella
- Oct 11, 2026Linares DeportivovsAntoniano
- Oct 11, 2026SanluqueñovsRecreativo Huelva
- Oct 11, 2026Ciudad de LucenavsDon Benito
- Oct 11, 2026Real Betis IIvsXerez
- Oct 11, 2026Atlético PasovsTamaraceite
- Oct 11, 2026EsteponavsAtlético Central
- Oct 11, 2026Mijas Las LagunasvsSevilla Atletico