Match

Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas IITenerife II

The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tenerife II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Las Palmas II (1,870) and Tenerife II (1,850).

Las Palmas II win48 %
Draw26 %
Tenerife II win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas II have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Tenerife II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Palmas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Socuéllamos(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Orihuela(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Getafe II(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Tenerife II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Tenerife(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026SS Reyes(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Conquense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026CD Coria(home)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Elche II(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Palmas II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tenerife II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 11, 2026Tenerife II 2-2 Las Palmas IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 7, 2025Las Palmas II 0-1 Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 17, 2024Las Palmas II 2-0 Tenerife IITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 29, 2023Tenerife II 0-1 Las Palmas IITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Feb 12, 2023Las Palmas II 1-1 Tenerife IITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 9, 2022Tenerife II 2-0 Las Palmas IITercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Tenerife II vs Las Palmas II on Mar 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife II score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Las Palmas II1.11.5210/159/15
Tenerife II1.82.039/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II?
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tenerife II.
Where and when is Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II played?
Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Las Palmas II and Tenerife II

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