Where and when is Estepona vs Atlético Central played?

Estepona vs Atlético Central is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estepona vs Atlético Central: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona

Estepona

Atlético Central

The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Atlético Central. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estepona vs Atlético Central?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Estepona (1,926) and Atlético Central (1,852).

Estepona win51 %

Draw28 %

Atlético Central win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Atlético Central have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estepona
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Real Madrid III(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	2-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Yeclano(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Águilas(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Linares Deportivo(away)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Atlético Central
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Caudal(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Caudal(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Dos Hermanas(away)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 31, 2026	Dos Hermanas(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 23, 2026	Bollullos(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

How many goals should we expect?

Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Central score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estepona	1.7	0.9	4	10/15	7/15
Atlético Central	1.2	0.7	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Estepona	34	12	8	14	40	44	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Atlético Central?: The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Atlético Central.
Where and when is Estepona vs Atlético Central played?: Estepona vs Atlético Central is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.