Estepona vs Atlético Central: result 3-2 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
Full time
What was the result of Estepona vs Atlético Central?
Estepona won 3-2 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′A. CandelasEstepona
- 45′Manu GavilánAtlético Central (pen.)
- 47′A. CandelasEstepona
- 70′Juan AntonioAtlético Central
- 82′S. BaradjiEstepona
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Estepona win at 60%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Atlético Central have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Central score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlético Central | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estepona sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (10 points from 6 matches) and Atlético Central sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Estepona | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlético Central | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Estepona vs Atlético Central?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Real Betis II1-1Xerez
- Oct 11, 2026Puente Genil1-0Tamaraceite
- Oct 11, 2026Linares Deportivo2-1Antoniano
- Oct 11, 2026Las Palmas II1-1Tenerife II
- Oct 11, 2026Badajoz1-0Marbella
- Oct 11, 2026Ciudad de Lucena4-2Don Benito
- Oct 11, 2026Mijas Las Lagunas3-1Sevilla Atletico
- Oct 11, 2026Sanluqueño3-3Recreativo Huelva