Match

Sanluqueño vs Xerez: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda

SanluqueñoXerez

The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanluqueño vs Xerez?

Xerez starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,752).

Sanluqueño win30 %
Draw30 %
Xerez win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanluqueño have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Xerez have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanluqueño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Villarreal II(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Teruel(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 9, 2026Algeciras(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Ibiza(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026Alcorcon(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Xerez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Portuense(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Conquense(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026Conquense(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Ucam Murcia(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Xerez Deportivo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sanluqueño win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Xerez win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 10, 2024Sanluqueño 1-1 XerezFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Sanluqueño vs Xerez on Aug 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sanluqueño0.51.545/155/15
Xerez0.70.584/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Xerez341789322459

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanluqueño vs Xerez?
The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sanluqueño.
Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Xerez played?
Sanluqueño vs Xerez is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sanluqueño and Xerez

Ready to know everything about football?