Sanluqueño vs Xerez: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda
The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanluqueño vs Xerez?
Xerez starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanluqueño have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Xerez have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Portuense(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sanluqueño win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Xerez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2024 | Sanluqueño 1-1 Xerez | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanluqueño | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Xerez | 0.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Xerez | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanluqueño vs Xerez?
- The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sanluqueño.
- Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Xerez played?
- Sanluqueño vs Xerez is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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