Ciudad de Lucena vs Badajoz: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, Lucena
The Footlab AI model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Badajoz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ciudad de Lucena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Badajoz?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Ciudad de Lucena (1,969) and Badajoz (1,992).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ciudad de Lucena vs Badajoz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ciudad de Lucena
Not enough data to predict the Ciudad de Lucena lineup.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Lucena have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Badajoz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ciudad de Lucena score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Badajoz score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Lucena | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Badajoz | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ciudad de Lucena sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 6 matches) and Badajoz sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ciudad de Lucena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Badajoz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Ciudad de Lucena vs Badajoz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Lucena vs Badajoz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Badajoz.
- Where and when is Ciudad de Lucena vs Badajoz played?
- Ciudad de Lucena vs Badajoz is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.