Xerez vs Antoniano: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera
The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 52%, against 31% for a draw and 17% for Antoniano. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xerez vs Antoniano?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Xerez (1,926) and Antoniano (1,878).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Antoniano have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Portuense(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Xerez win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Antoniano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Antoniano 3-2 Xerez | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Xerez 2-0 Antoniano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Xerez 1-2 Antoniano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Antoniano 1-0 Xerez | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Antoniano 2-2 Xerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Xerez 1-1 Antoniano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xerez | 0.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Antoniano | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Xerez sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (59 points from 34 matches) and Antoniano sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Xerez | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 59 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 40 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Antoniano?
- The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 52%, against 31% for a draw and 17% for Antoniano.
- Where and when is Xerez vs Antoniano played?
- Xerez vs Antoniano is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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