Match

Xerez vs Antoniano: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera

XerezAntoniano

The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 52%, against 31% for a draw and 17% for Antoniano. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Xerez vs Antoniano?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Xerez (1,926) and Antoniano (1,878).

Xerez win52 %
Draw31 %
Antoniano win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Antoniano have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Xerez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Portuense(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Conquense(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026Conquense(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Ucam Murcia(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Xerez Deportivo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Antoniano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Real Jaén(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Recreativo Huelva(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026Málaga II(away)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Yeclano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026Linares Deportivo(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Xerez win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Antoniano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Antoniano 3-2 XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 14, 2025Xerez 2-0 AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 16, 2025Xerez 1-2 AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 6, 2024Antoniano 1-0 XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Mar 26, 2023Antoniano 2-2 XerezTercera División RFEF - Group 10
Dec 4, 2022Xerez 1-1 AntonianoTercera División RFEF - Group 10

Last archived meeting: Antoniano vs Xerez on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Xerez0.70.584/152/15
Antoniano1.01.347/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Xerez sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (59 points from 34 matches) and Antoniano sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Xerez341789322459
12Antoniano3412814384044

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Antoniano?
The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 52%, against 31% for a draw and 17% for Antoniano.
Where and when is Xerez vs Antoniano played?
Xerez vs Antoniano is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Xerez and Antoniano

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