Match

Marbella vs Las Palmas II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella

MarbellaLas Palmas II

The Footlab model makes Marbella the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Las Palmas II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbella vs Las Palmas II?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Marbella (1,799) and Las Palmas II (1,866).

Marbella win39 %
Draw30 %
Las Palmas II win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Las Palmas II have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Teruel(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Alcorcon(away)2-6Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Juventud Torremolinos(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Eldense(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Sabadell(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Las Palmas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Socuéllamos(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Orihuela(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Getafe II(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marbella win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Las Palmas II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2021Marbella 0-0 Las Palmas IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 6, 2020Las Palmas II 1-1 MarbellaPrimera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Las Palmas II on Mar 7, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marbella1.51.837/157/15
Las Palmas II1.11.5210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Las Palmas II?
The Footlab model makes Marbella the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Las Palmas II.
Where and when is Marbella vs Las Palmas II played?
Marbella vs Las Palmas II is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marbella and Las Palmas II

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