Match

Estepona vs Tamaraceite: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona

EsteponaTamaraceite

The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Tamaraceite. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estepona vs Tamaraceite?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Estepona (1,926) and Tamaraceite (1,862).

Estepona win50 %
Draw28 %
Tamaraceite win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Tamaraceite have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estepona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Real Madrid III(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Real Madrid III(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Yeclano(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Águilas(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026Linares Deportivo(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Tamaraceite
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Tenerife(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Guijuelo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026San Fernando CD(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026San Fernando CD(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Estepona1.70.9410/157/15
Tamaraceite1.91.2410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Estepona3412814404444

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Tamaraceite?
The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Tamaraceite.
Where and when is Estepona vs Tamaraceite played?
Estepona vs Tamaraceite is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Estepona and Tamaraceite

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