Estepona vs Tamaraceite: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Tamaraceite. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estepona vs Tamaraceite?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Estepona (1,926) and Tamaraceite (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Tamaraceite have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | San Fernando CD(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | San Fernando CD(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Tamaraceite | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Tamaraceite?
- The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Tamaraceite.
- Where and when is Estepona vs Tamaraceite played?
- Estepona vs Tamaraceite is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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