Sanremese vs Pro Patria: prediction and stats
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 16Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Cichero, Sanremo
The Footlab AI model makes Sanremese the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Pro Patria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanremese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,335 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanremese vs Pro Patria?
Sanremese starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sanremese vs Pro Patria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sanremese
Not enough data to predict the Sanremese lineup.
Pro Patria
4-3-3- 10F. Mastroianni
- 25D. Ferri
- 70J. Desogus
- 17G. Tunjov
- 23J. Frosali
- 27L. Giudici
- 6A. Sassaro
- 39M. Motolese
- 20C. Mora
- 31G. Felicioli
- 28A. Sala
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanremese have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Pro Patria have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Alessandria(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Asti(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Imperia(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Millesimo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Sanremese score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pro Patria score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanremese | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pro Patria | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sanremese vs Pro Patria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanremese vs Pro Patria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sanremese the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Pro Patria.
- Where and when is Sanremese vs Pro Patria played?
- Sanremese vs Pro Patria is played on November 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Cichero, in the Coppa Italia Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.