Ancona vs Ternana: prediction and stats
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 16Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ancona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ternana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ancona vs Ternana?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Ancona (1,843) and Ternana (1,915).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ancona vs Ternana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Ternana
Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ancona have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ternana have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 5-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 5-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Ancona score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancona | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Ternana | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ancona vs Ternana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ancona vs Ternana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ancona.
- Where and when is Ancona vs Ternana played?
- Ancona vs Ternana is played on November 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Coppa Italia Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.