Igea Virtus vs Modica: prediction and stats
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 16Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres, Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto
The Footlab AI model makes Igea Virtus the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Modica. The most likely score is 1-1. If Igea Virtus wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Igea Virtus vs Modica?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Igea Virtus (1,796) and Modica (1,743).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Igea Virtus vs Modica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Igea Virtus
Not enough data to predict the Igea Virtus lineup.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 10:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Igea Virtus have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Modica have 6, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Gelbison(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Enna(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Licata(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gela(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Licata(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Igea Virtus score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Modica score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igea Virtus | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Modica | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 3/13 | 5/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Igea Virtus vs Modica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Igea Virtus vs Modica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Igea Virtus the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Modica.
- Where and when is Igea Virtus vs Modica played?
- Igea Virtus vs Modica is played on November 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres, in the Coppa Italia Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.