Santa Cruz RJ vs Campos AA: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 8Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz RJ the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Campos AA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Cruz RJ vs Campos AA?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Santa Cruz RJ (1,655) and Campos AA (1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz RJ have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Campos AA have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Pérolas Negras(away) | 1-5 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Pérolas Negras(home) | 0-5 | Copa Rio |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Macaé(home) | 2-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Macaé(away) | 0-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Paraty(away) | 1-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(home) | 1-2 | Carioca C |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(away) | 1-4 | Carioca C |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Uniao Central(away) | 0-1 | Carioca C |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Uni Souza(home) | 3-1 | Carioca C |
| Jun 7, 2026 | EC Resende(away) | 4-0 | Carioca C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Santa Cruz RJ win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Campos AA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2024 | Santa Cruz RJ 1-2 Campos AA | Carioca C |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz RJ vs Campos AA on Jun 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz RJ score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Campos AA score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz RJ | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Campos AA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santa Cruz RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz RJ vs Campos AA?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz RJ the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Campos AA.
- Where and when is Santa Cruz RJ vs Campos AA played?
- Santa Cruz RJ vs Campos AA is played on October 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.