Where and when is Santomera vs Unión Molinense played?

Santomera vs Unión Molinense is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Santomera vs Unión Molinense: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera

Santomera

Unión Molinense

The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santomera vs Unión Molinense?

Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,684).

Santomera win26 %

Draw28 %

Unión Molinense win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Unión Molinense have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santomera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cieza(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Olímpico Totana(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cartagena LU II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano II(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Unión Molinense
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 17, 2026	Olímpico Totana(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Yeclano II(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	SFC Minerva(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santomera win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Unión Molinense win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Santomera 1-2 Unión Molinense	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 12, 2025	Unión Molinense 0-1 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 25, 2025	Unión Molinense 1-2 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 17, 2025	Santomera 0-0 Unión Molinense	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Feb 15, 2025	Santomera 0-1 Unión Molinense	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 6, 2024	Unión Molinense 2-2 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Santomera vs Unión Molinense on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Molinense score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Santomera	1.1	2.1	1	8/15	10/15
Unión Molinense	1.3	0.9	6	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santomera sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and Unión Molinense sit 3rd (59 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Unión Molinense	34	17	8	9	46	34	59
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38	64	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Unión Molinense?: The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Santomera.
Where and when is Santomera vs Unión Molinense played?: Santomera vs Unión Molinense is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.