Santomera vs Unión Molinense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Molinense wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs Unión Molinense?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Santomera (1,727) and Unión Molinense (1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santomera vs Unión Molinense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Unión Molinense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santomera wins, 2 draws, 2 Unión Molinense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Santomera 1-2 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Unión Molinense 0-1 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 25, 2025 | Unión Molinense 1-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2025 | Santomera 0-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Santomera 0-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Unión Molinense 2-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santomera vs Unión Molinense on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Molinense score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Unión Molinense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santomera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (16 points from 6 matches) and Unión Molinense sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Santomera vs Unión Molinense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Unión Molinense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Santomera vs Unión Molinense played?
- Santomera vs Unión Molinense is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsLos Garres
- Dec 20, 2026Mazarrón FCvsÁguilas II
- Dec 20, 2026Olímpico TotanavsAlcantarilla
- Dec 20, 2026Cartagena LU IIvsBala Azul
- Dec 20, 2026AlgarvsUCAM Murcia II
- Dec 20, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsSanta Cruz
- Dec 20, 2026Bullas DeportivovsSFC Minerva
- Dec 20, 2026San JaviervsEl Palmar